|
Page 252 →Table A12. Results Using Mean Incumbent Vote Share for Electoral Vulnerability in Models Shown in Table 6 of Chapter 6 |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Variable |
Inventing (1) |
Borrowing (2) |
|
Deregulation |
1.025** (0.495) |
0.246 (0.861) |
|
Legislative Mean Incumbent Vote Share |
0.003 (0.014) |
0.010 (0.020) |
|
Elected |
1.641** (0.713) |
2.354*** (0.753) |
|
Price of Energy |
−0.112 (0.130) |
−0.297* (0.167) |
|
Daily Solar Radiation Level |
1.123*** (0.317) |
1.956*** (0.373) |
|
State Per Capita Income |
−0.005 (0.030) |
−0.007 (0.029) |
|
Fossil Fuel Sources |
−0.018** (0.007) |
−0.027*** (0.010) |
|
Citizen Ideology |
0.070*** (0.024) |
0.154*** (0.048) |
|
Unified Democratic Government |
0.716 (0.606) |
−1.243 (0.918) |
|
Government Ideology |
−0.025** (0.011) |
0.002 (0.015) |
|
Legislative Term Limits |
−0.680 (0.719) |
−0.510 (0.740) |
|
Urban Percentage |
0.020 (0.031) |
−0.009 (0.023) |
|
Change in Unemployment |
−0.306 (0.199) |
−0.648** (0.279) |
|
Legislative Professionalism |
2.727 (2.193) |
6.994*** (2.652) |
|
Geographic Neighbor |
0.056 (1.579) |
2.094 (1.324) |
|
Ideological Neighbor |
0.467 (1.249) |
0.918 (1.482) |
|
Prior Inventing |
−3.334 (8.366) |
|
|
Prior Borrowing |
−21.005 (15.351) |
|
|
Year |
0.264** (0.122) |
0.157 (0.151) |
|
Featureyear |
0.150*** (0.015) |
|
|
Wald Χ2 |
562.64*** |
915.45*** |
|
Observations |
182,851 (36) |
47,130 (54) |
|
*** = critical value of 0.01; ** = critical value of 0.05; * = critical value of 0.10 |
||
|
Page 253 →Table A13. Results Dropping Combinations for Models Shown in Table 6 of Chapter 6 |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Variable |
Inventing (1) |
Borrowing (2) |
|
Deregulation |
0.305 (0.742) |
0.337 (0.844) |
|
Elected |
4.593 (3.115) |
2.211*** (0.658) |
|
Price of Energy |
−0.219 (0.137) |
−0.273* (0.152) |
|
Daily Solar Radiation Level |
1.065** (0.453) |
1.862*** (0.349) |
|
State Per Capita Income |
0.057 (0.097) |
−0.009 (0.029) |
|
Fossil Fuel Sources |
−0.007 (0.012) |
−0.026** (0.010) |
|
Citizen Ideology |
0.082* (0.043) |
0.144*** (0.041) |
|
Unified Democratic Government |
−0.260 (1.394) |
−1.151 (0.915) |
|
Government Ideology |
−0.043*** (0.015) |
0.003 (0.016) |
|
Legislative Term Limits |
−1.381 (0.977) |
−0.764 (0.682) |
|
Legislative Median Incumbent Vote Share |
0.019 (0.030) |
−0.0008 (0.010) |
|
Urban Percentage |
0.198 (0.147) |
−0.003 (0.025) |
|
Change in Unemployment |
−0.437* (0.250) |
−0.596** (0.261) |
|
Legislative Professionalism |
1.684 (4.402) |
6.924*** (2.527) |
|
Geographic Neighbor |
1.888 (1.882) |
1.929 (1.326) |
|
Ideological Neighbor |
−0.022 (1.519) |
0.855 (1.449) |
|
Prior Inventing |
−17.354 (16.417) |
|
|
Prior Borrowing |
−19.727 (15.612) |
|
|
Year |
0.284*** (0.075) |
0.167 (0.139) |
|
Featureyear |
0.130*** (0.016) |
|
|
Wald Χ2 |
1,487.91*** |
657.37*** |
|
Observations |
90,844 (16) |
30,623 (54) |
|
*** = critical value of 0.01; ** = critical value of 0.05; * = critical value of 0.10 |
||
|
Page 254 →Table A14. Results Dropping Rates/Thresholds for Models Shown in Table 6 of Chapter 6 |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Variable |
Inventing (1) |
Borrowing (2) |
|
Deregulation |
0.678 (0.594) |
0.415 (0.894) |
|
Elected |
1.331* (0.695) |
2.109*** (0.658) |
|
Price of Energy |
−0.115 (0.113) |
−0.285* (0.145) |
|
Daily Solar Radiation Level |
0.977*** (0.259) |
2.156*** (0.377) |
|
State Per Capita Income |
−0.025 (0.024) |
0.003 (0.025) |
|
Fossil Fuel Sources |
−0.013** (0.006) |
−0.028*** (0.010) |
|
Citizen Ideology |
0.056** (0.025) |
0.146*** (0.040) |
|
Unified Democratic Government |
0.484 (0.784) |
−1.055 (0.903) |
|
Government Ideology |
−0.019 (0.012) |
−0.0007 (0.017) |
|
Legislative Term Limits |
−0.799 (0.744) |
−1.098 (0.748) |
|
Legislative Median Incumbent Vote Share |
−0.006 (0.009) |
−0.001 (0.009) |
|
Urban Percentage |
0.037 (0.033) |
−0.018 (0.024) |
|
Change in Unemployment |
−0.344 (0.230) |
−0.640** (0.265) |
|
Legislative Professionalism |
2.086 (2.215) |
6.797*** (2.322) |
|
Geographic Neighbor |
−0.149 (1.576) |
2.089 (1.325) |
|
Ideological Neighbor |
−0.698 (1.083) |
0.570 (1.503) |
|
Prior Inventing |
0.070 (5.589) |
|
|
Prior Borrowing |
−18.631 (13.685) |
|
|
Year |
0.252*** (0.092) |
0.180 (0.128) |
|
Featureyear |
0.094*** (0.009) |
|
|
Wald Χ2 |
646.63*** |
1,641.06*** |
|
Observations |
129,105 (26) |
34,197 (53) |
|
*** = critical value of 0.01; ** = critical value of 0.05; * = critical value of 0.10 |
||
|
Page 255 →Table A15. Results Using Mean Incumbent Vote Share for Electoral Vulnerability in Models Shown in Table 8 of Chapter 8 (Selected Variables) |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Variable |
Legislative Invention (1) |
Legislative Borrowing (2) |
Legislative Invention (3) |
Legislative Borrowing (4) |
|
Government Ideology |
−0.013* (0.006) |
−0.004 (0.004) |
−0.012* (0.007) |
−0.003 (0.004) |
|
Mean Incumbent Legislator Vote Share |
−0.016** (0.008) |
0.007 (0.004) |
−0.018** (0.009) |
0.007 (0.004) |
|
Norrander |
0.367 (0.795) |
0.465 (0.307) |
0.414 (0.856) |
0.495 (0.321) |
|
Religious Adherence |
1.577 (1.002) |
0.954 (0.665) |
2.076* (1.107) |
1.098 (0.689) |
|
Unified Democratic Legislature |
0.133 (0.299) |
−0.148 (0.147) |
0.108 (0.328) |
−0.165 (0.148) |
|
Female Democrats |
−1.547 (3.195) |
−4.815*** (1.805) |
−2.281 (3.275) |
−4.634** (1.843) |
|
Democratic Governor |
−0.101 (0.303) |
−0.113 (0.145) |
−0.106 (0.364) |
−0.138 (0.152) |
|
Initiatives |
0.061 (0.054) |
0.070*** (0.025) |
0.084 (0.063) |
0.073*** (0.026) |
|
Neighbors |
6.612*** (0.758) |
2.558*** (0.216) |
6.489*** (0.748) |
2.564*** (0.215) |
|
Citizen Ideology |
−0.001 (0.006) |
−0.0009 (0.002) |
||
|
Ideological Similarity |
−1.850* (1.035) |
0.780 (0.485) |
||
|
Prior Invention |
−9.262 (5.655) |
|||
|
Prior Borrowing |
−2.739 (3.048) |
|||
|
Observations |
18,782 (104) |
26,831 (568) |
18,782 (104) |
26,831 (568) |
|
*** = critical value of 0.01; ** = critical value of 0.05; * = critical value of 0.10 |
||||
|
Page 256 →Table A16. Results Substituting Year Squared Variable for Year Variable in Invention Models Shown in Table 8 of Chapter 8 (Selected Variables) |
||
|---|---|---|
|
Variable |
Legislative Invention |
Legislative Invention |
|
Government Ideology |
−0.012* (0.006) |
−0.012* (0.006) |
|
Median Incumbent Legislator Vote Share |
−0.011** (0.005) |
−0.012** (0.006) |
|
Norrander |
0.424 (0.761) |
0.482 (0.815) |
|
Religious Adherence |
1.606 (0.981) |
2.087* (1.083) |
|
Unified Democratic Legislature |
0.115 (0.300) |
0.089 (0.320) |
|
Female Democrats |
−1.262 (3.203) |
−1.935 (3.291) |
|
Democratic Governor |
−0.114 (0.339) |
−0.114 (0.345) |
|
Initiatives |
0.063 (0.053) |
0.085 (0.061) |
|
Neighbors |
6.624*** (0.756) |
6.502*** (0.748) |
|
Year Squared |
0.00001 (9.9*10−6) |
0.00002 (9.33*10−6) |
|
Citizen Ideology |
−0.0007 (0.001) |
|
|
Ideological Similarity |
−1.842* (1.047) |
|
|
Prior Invention |
−8.968 (5.545) |
|
|
Prior Borrowing |
||
|
Observations |
18,782 (104) |
18,782 (104) |
|
*** = critical value of 0.01; ** = critical value of 0.05; * = critical value of 0.10 |
||
|
Page 257 →Table A17. Full Results for Models Shown in Table 8 of Chapter 8 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Variable |
Legislative Invention (1) |
Legislative Borrowing (2) |
Legislative Invention (3) |
Legislative Borrowing (4) |
|
Government Ideology |
−0.012* (0.006) |
−0.005 (0.004) |
−0.012* (0.006) |
−0.003 (0.006) |
|
Median Incumbent Legislator Vote Share |
−0.011** (0.005) |
0.003 (0.003) |
−0.012** (0.006) |
0.003 (0.003) |
|
Norrander |
0.443 (0.758) |
0.449 (0.318) |
0.501 (0.812) |
0.477 (0.331) |
|
Religious Adherence |
1.594 (0.978) |
0.965 (0.675) |
2.073* (1.080) |
1.107 (0.692) |
|
Unified Democratic Legislature |
0.115 (0.300) |
−0.132 (0.147) |
0.089 (0.320) |
−0.155 (0.155) |
|
Female Democrats |
−1.235 (3.202) |
−4.900*** (0.792) |
−1.905 (3.290) |
−4.702** (1.816) |
|
Democratic Governor |
−0.116 (0.339) |
−0.101 (0.146) |
−0.116 (0.345) |
−0.144 (0.196) |
|
Initiatives |
0.063 (0.053) |
0.070*** (0.026) |
0.085 (0.061) |
0.072*** (0.027) |
|
Neighbors |
6.632*** (0.755) |
2.555*** (0.216) |
6.511*** (0.747) |
2.562*** (0.216) |
|
State Median Income |
−0.447 (0.313) |
−0.030 (0.077) |
−0.478 (0.323) |
−0.017 (0.079) |
|
State Population Size |
0.069 (0.259) |
0.097 (0.104) |
0.111 (0.283) |
0.092 (0.106) |
|
Webster |
0.055 (0.273) |
0.521** (0.204) |
−0.150 (0.270) |
0.520** (0.206) |
|
Citizen Ideology |
−0.0006 (0.001) |
−0.001 (0.007) |
||
|
Ideological Similarity |
−1.834* (1.046) |
0.805* (0.487) |
||
|
Prior Invention |
−8.957 (5.540) |
|||
|
Prior Borrowing |
−2.620 (3.060) |
|||
|
Year |
0.064* (0.036) |
−0.097*** (0.018) |
0.083** (0.037) |
−0.093*** (0.025) |
|
Year Squared |
0.001*** (0.000) |
0.001*** (0.000) |
||
|
Observations |
18,782 (104) |
26,831 (568) |
18,782 (104) |
26,831 (568) |
|
*** = critical value of 0.01; ** = critical value of 0.05; * = critical value of 0.10 |
||||
|
Page 258 →Table A18. Results Including Direct Ballot Initiative for Models in Table 8 of Chapter 8 (Selected Variables) |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Variable |
Legislative Invention (1) |
Legislative Borrowing (2) |
Legislative Invention (3) |
Legislative Borrowing (4) |
|
Government Ideology |
−0.013** (0.006) |
−0.004 (0.004) |
−0.012* (0.006) |
−0.003 (0.006) |
|
Median Incumbent Legislator Vote Share |
−0.011** (0.005) |
0.003 (0.003) |
−0.012* (0.006) |
0.003 (0.003) |
|
Direct Ballot Initiative |
−0.075 (0.456) |
0.006 (0.218) |
−0.188 (0.519) |
−0.014 (0.233) |
|
Norrander |
0.417 (0.811) |
0.451 (0.230) |
0.427 (0.900) |
0.474 (0.332) |
|
Religious Adherence |
1.645 (1.085) |
0.960 (0.674) |
2.212* (1.203) |
1.117 (0.695) |
|
Unified Democratic Legislature |
0.115 (0.300) |
−0.132 (0.147) |
0.092 (0.323) |
−0.156 (0.155) |
|
Female Democrats |
−1.245 (3.214) |
−4.901*** (1.789) |
−1.942 (3.312) |
−4.700*** (1.811) |
|
Democratic Governor |
−0.108 (0.333) |
−0.102 (0.148) |
−0.099 (0.345) |
−0.144 (0.196) |
|
Initiatives |
0.075 (0.087) |
0.069* (0.041) |
0.115 (0.103) |
0.075* (0.044) |
|
Neighbors |
6.628*** (0.757) |
2.555*** (0.216) |
6.502*** (0.752) |
2.563*** (0.217) |
|
Citizen Ideology |
−0.0009 (0.004) |
−0.002 (0.008) |
||
|
Ideological Similarity |
−1.864* (1.056) |
0.805* (0.486) |
||
|
Prior Invention |
−9.088* (5.075) |
|||
|
Prior Borrowing |
−2.636 (3.121) |
|||
|
Observations |
18,782 (104) |
26,831 (568) |
18,782 (104) |
26,831 (568) |
