joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (Default)
As near as I can tell, poly-friendly professionals continues to be being hacked, or internally broken, despite the takedown of the submission form.

I can't leave it up, something is actually damaging what data exists there.

I think I might be done trying. I'll sleep on it.

It's been a good, what, 12 years? 13?
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (Default)
I'll be shutting down new submissions to Poly-Friendly Professions for the foreseeable future -- I've never been able to keep the incoming spam problem under control, and I don't have the energy to deal with the problem myself.

Particularly since I don't expect internets for the month of November, and the lead page of the site fills with spam entries in 48 hours at the current rate.
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (Default)
Leaving LJ. Woot!
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (cleaned up)
Clever, and annoying, they are. Ah well.
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (cleaned up)
I have a small camera backpack, less capacity than Chris or I could get any use from, free to the first person who asks for it that could get some use from it.

Looks sort of like this, except olive/black rather than navy/black:

http://www.adorama.com/Reviews/pwr/product-reviews/Cases/M-Rock/p/MRARCNY-M-Rock-Arches-675-Hybrid-Backpack-Sling-Bag-Black-Navy-Grey.html

Some stains, minimal use, great condition otherwise.





A dusty, original, Buffalo Terrastation:

http://www.cnet.com/4520-10602_1-5618710-1.html

I think this can actually do 1TB RAID5, I haven't tested it recently, I do appear to have those disks and a spare swap disk. It's a little small and large for my needs, but if you want, you got.





Black metal two-drawer filing cabinet. A bit dusty, used.





You must pick up.
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (cleaned up)
With the current cases at the Supreme Court bar currently discussing the legal issue of standing, it's worth asking ourselves why we have limitations on who should and shouldn't enjoy the legal capacity to argue for a given law.

I have some empathy for the view that limiting standing could be dangerous, even though it would be a "win" in this case.

But I saw a quote today (and I don't have time to dig into it further) that I wanted to pass along, which gets to the heart of why I feel standing really matters.

"The fundamental requirement that the contestent show present or impending injury to his own interests has operated to exclude from the Court's consideration objections that are .... , or that are based on discrimination in the statue either favoring the complainant or not concerning him." - "Who May Test the Constitutionality of a Statute in the Supreme Court", Harvard Law Review 47:4, February 1934, p. 678. (Emphasis mine.)

The article continues this by relating it to Fairchild v. Hughes, in which a private citizen of New York was found to not have standing on his own to challenge the ratification of the 19th Amendment. (Women's suffrage.)

Anyway, back to packing, but having had this drop into my inbox, I wanted to save it.
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (cleaned up)
Reflecting some corrections and changes:

6 December - Marriage equality begins in Washington State (ref)(ref 2, with countdown clock) (This Thursday, the 6th, is when you can get a license, starting at 12:01 according to King County. The first weddings will happen this Sunday the 9th, apparently.) King County will have special hours for issuing licenses.

6 December - Marriage licenses can begin being issued to same-sex couples as early as this date in Maryland, but the weddings themselves must wait until 1 January (see below).

7 or 10 December - Expected date we might hear the result of the 7 December SCOTUS conference to consider whether to hear Hollingsworth v Perry (formerly Perry v Brown, Perry v Schwarzenegger), the "Proposition 8" case. If SCOTUS declines to take Perry, that will leave the 9th circuit court decision in place, which will overturn Proposition 8. If they take the case, well, it'll be at a while yet before we will hear. (ref) The discussion of the DOMA cases (e.g., Windsor, Gill, etc.), and the Arizona same-sex partner benefits case Dias v. Brewer have all been moved to the 7 December conference. They're still pondering after the last conference.

29 December - Marriage equality legally begins in Maine on this date This is an update from a previous estimate of January 5, but weddings may be delayed a bit by the fact that 29 December is a Saturday, which could delay licenses until 31 December. It looks like there's no waiting period after that....

1 January - Marriage equality begins Maryland with the first weddings. (Licenses can be issued in some jurisdictions as early as 6 December, but the wedding can't happen until the New Year. If the details are important to you, read the ref, there's more detailed info.)(ref)
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (cleaned up)
Hypothetical:
I'm going to change my policies about who I allow into my home, so as to include Judge Robert C. Jones. Of course, he'll have to sit on the floor, and everyone else will be able to use the sofa. Fortunately, the floor is quite comfortable.

Further, as he walks by me, I will strike him hard across the face once, rather than the three times I have stuck with traditionally.

Now, according to his reasoning (which I apply in the spirit of the Golden Rule), he will, as a clear implication of the logic he applies in the reference below, accept that as a sign of my benevolence, rather than animus, towards him.

You are, at this point, requested to discuss the likelihood of this interpretation by him in my hypothetical, in probability distribution terms. Both scientific notation (e.g., 6.9e-13) and comparisons with particularly likely or unlikely occurrences (e.g., "snowball's chance in Hell") are welcome.

A small prize will be awarded for the most creative answer.

(ref: http://www.scribd.com/doc/115027663/Sevcik-v-Sandoval-Ruling)
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (cleaned up)
A reminder to myself, but it might be useful to all of you, too:

1. Are you passing along information? If so, can you definitively show that the information comes from the source it claims to come from, preferably with a live link? Are you passing that link along?

If you can't say where the information comes from, why the heck are you passing along something that's probably BS?

2. If you can show where it came from, is the source reliable?

If not, why the heck are you passing along something that's probably BS?

3. Do you know what Snopes is? Google? Etc.? Did you check before you reposted?

If not, why the heck are you passing along something that's probably BS?

4. If what you're passing on includes an illustration, photograph, or other artwork, are you sure you know who the creator is? Like, do you have a live link? Are you passing that information along?

If you don't have that information, or won't pass it along, why are choosing to fuck over the creator of that artwork? What did they ever do to you?

( Permission granted to pass this along with attribution. --Joe Decker -- joedecker.livejournal.com )
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (Default)
(Revised from a comment reply to an earlier post.)


On November 30, the Supreme Court of the United States will consider whether to take none, some or all of a series of cases relating to government recognition of same-sex relationships. The cases involved can be broken down into two groups, Perry, and the "Section 3 DOMA cases."

Hollingsworth v Perry, formerly Perry v. Schwarzenegger and Perry v Brown, is the famous federal "Proposition 8" case, in which the American Foundation for Equal Rights, created by Chad Griffin and Rob Reiner, attracted the legal odd couple of David Boies and Ted Olson (who'd litigated opposite sides of Bush v Gore) to directly challenge the federal Constitutionality of Proposition 8, which removed marriage rights from same-sex couples.

Five pending cases involve "DOMA Section 3". DOMA (The Defense of Marriage Act) Section 3 prevents the federal government from providing even marriage-like benefits to same-sex couples. These cases are Gill v OPM, Mass. v Dept of HHS, Golinksi v OPM, Windsor v US, and Pedersen v OPM. Each demonstrate some particular putative Constitutional failure of this limitation, for example, Windsor denied the inheritance rights of a widow when her same-sex partner passed away, they'd been together for 40 years.

Because all of these cases involve sexual orientation, they bring up questions of the application of equal protection law. In general, most laws are judged against a "rational basis" standard, which more or less allows a legislature to pass any law and have it pass Constitutional muster if they can provide an excuse. (Seriously, it's quite rare for a law to be found to lack a rational basis.) Laws discriminating on the basis of race and religion are held to a higher standard, "strict scrutiny", and very rarely pass Constitutional muster. The heightened scrutiny here comes in part from the fact that these characteristics are specifically called out in the Constitution for protection. Laws discriminating on the basis of sex are held to "intermediate scrutiny", which is (unsurprisingly, given the name) between these two standards.

When is a discrimination based on a particular characteristic worthy of heightened scrutiny? United States v Carolene Products Co, footnote 4, is the ur-ruling on this point, a judgement is made based on factors such as immutability (it's more of a problem to discriminate based on eye color than shirt color), history of discrimination, political power, and so on. Heightened scrutiny of any sort is a Very Big Deal. The Supreme Court has never yet found sexual orientation to require it, and honestly, they won't until and unless a case comes up that both proves it to their satisfaction, *and* which requires that same heightened scrutiny to reach it's conclusion. They will, in short, duck it as long as they can.

In California, we're very focused on Perry. And there are many questions about whether the court will decide to hear the case or not. Lower courts have ruled that Proposition 8 is unconstitutional. If the court wishes to keep Proposition 8 alive, it must take the case. (The technical term would be "granting certiorari".) But will it? The rest of this post is my own, probably laughably-bad, analysis of how the game theory on this may all play out.

....

If SCOTUS denies "cert" (that is, doesn't take the case) Prop 8 is over, done, period. The ruling would only apply to California, but we could easily see January weddings in the state if they don't take it.

If they do take the case, well, then it gets drug out another year. And, in the end, there are four possible outcomes.

A. They could uphold Proposition 8.

B. They could overturn it on narrow grounds, which only really apply to Proposition 8. (Similar to what would happen if they didn't take the case).

C. They could overturn it on broader, but still "rational basis" grounds.

D. They could overturn it and find that sexual orientation deserved heightened scrutiny.

Obviously, my favorite outcome is "D". It'd be huge, in that "marriage limits struck down nationally and lots more" sort of way. Very unlikely to happen at this point, but not impossible.

If the court has to choose between "B" and "C", I'm 99% sure will choose "B", courts generally attempt to use the "minimum force" means they can to take action, and the appeals court decision was written precisely with the aim of getting Justice Kennedy to buy B's line of reasoning, given that it's the reasoning he used in Lawrence v. Texas.

Option "D" is just possible enough that it may affect the decision of whether to take the case, despite the unliklihood of that being the final result.

Now, personally? I don't think SCOTUS takes Perry, but manages to avoid a discussion of scrutiny. The justices who argue for Proposition 8 are going to have to both say "no, heightened scrutiny is inappropriate" *and* "here's why the Proposition passes muster". (Or far less likely, allow heightened scrutiny but still uphold Prop. 8, I don't think any of the justices is that schizophrenic, though.)

Moreover, I think that the DOMA 3 cases push the court toward having to look at scrutiny as well, although, if the court only consideres the DOMA cases, it can probably avoid a serious reconsideration of scrutiny... if. The appellate ruling in Windsor is the only one of those five cases that relies on heightened scrutiny.

Me? I'd love Perry to be a part of any discussion of scrutiny, because Perry's trial record makes a very strong, essentially unopposed case for heightened scrutiny. But I also suspect that, as a result, Perry's trial record is Scalia's worst nightmare.

So the conservatives, I postulate, are in a quandary. Grant review of Perry and risk losing the war completely, with a favorable (for us) scrutiny ruling? Or do they duck addressing Perry entirely, bringing marriage equality to California in 2013 (but only California), where it looks likely (given the recent election) to have we'll have marriage equality in 2014 either way (but duck questions of scrutiny, and duck giving a precedent that could be used elsewhere in the country?)

There's a good chance they take the latter option. In fact, I suspect they'll only vote to take the case if they feel 100% certain they have the votes (from Kennedy and Roberts) to uphold Proposition 8. I don't think they're *that* certain. The appeals court ruling in Perry was written as a love letter to Kennedy's reasoning, and I'm sure the right is still smarting after Roberts' surprise decision in the health care case.

I also think the centrists will be wiling to deny cert. The appeals court decision was written to woo them (Kennedy in particular). Why would they vote to review something they already agreed with?

As a result, I think there is an even money chance, maybe better, that the Supreme Court decides *not* to hear Perry. As much as I would have enjoyed a SCOTUS showdown on the case, and while I still think that would be an epic, historic event, my current bet is that we'll have to settle for California marriage equality.

The current guess is that they'll announce their cert decision on December 3. Exciting times!
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (Default)
Reflecting some corrections and changes:

3 December - Expected date we'll hear the result of the 30 November SCOTUS conference to consider whether to hear Hollingsworth v Perry (formerly Perry v Brown, Perry v Schwarzenegger), the "Proposition 8" case. If SCOTUS declines to take the case, that will leave the 9th circuit court decision in place, which will overturn Proposition 8. If they take the case, well, it'll be at a while yet before we will hear. (ref) The discussion of the DOMA cases (e.g., Windsor, Gill, etc.) has also been moved to this conference.

6 December - Marriage equality begins in Washington State (ref) (The 6th is when you can get a license, the first weddings will happen on the 9th, apparently.)

1 January - Marriage equality begins in Maryland

5 January - Marriage equality begins in Maine somewhere around this date
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (Default)
26 November - Expected date we'll hear the result of the 20 November SCOTUS conference to consider whether to hear Hollingsworth v Perry (formerly Perry v Brown, Perry v Schwarzenegger), the "Proposition 8" case. If SCOTUS declines to take the case, that will leave the 9th circuit court decision in place, which will overturn Proposition 8. If they take the case, well, it'll be at a while yet before we will hear.

6 December - Marriage equality begins in Washington State

6-15 December - Marriage equality begins in Maine somewhere in this range

1 January - Marriage equality begins in Maryland
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (Default)
I've unplugged my home phone until Tuesday.
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (Default)
Every year, I take a winter-themed image and produce a card based on it, and offer up a discount to people willing to pre-order the cards.

Jökulsárlón was particularly beautiful this year, and at dusk crystal forms littered the black sand beach (Breiðamerkursandur) at the mouth of that lagoon. One particular ice sculpture fascinated me, but eluded my abilities until I found a way of including just a hint of the rising moon, completing the design.

Preorder prices (through November 7, higher after.)
1-9 Cards: $1.80 each
10-24 Cards: $1.60 each
25-49 Cards: $1.40 each
50-99 Cards: $1.30 each
100+ Cards: $1.15 each
500+ Cards: Call for quote, custom versions may be available.

No payment required at pre-order time, simply drop me an email at joedecker at gmail dot com, include your shipping address, and how many cards you'd like to reserve. This will help me plan the print run, pre-ordering is very much appreciated.
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (equal protection)
It appears likely from current polling, in view of the usual polling biases on such questions, that Maryland Question 6 will be defeated. Today, I'd like to talk about one tiny sliver of the consequences of that action.

In 2008, a pair of social scientists and Emory University studied the effect of state same-sex marriage bans on HIV rates, research which they published the following year. This would seem, at first blush, to be a very tenuous connection, and I began reading the paper, HIV and Tolerance, with quite a bit of doubt about the quality of the underlying science. Working through it over several days, I went from being quite suspicious to being pretty impressed.

What Francis and Mialon appear to have teased out was that, after a state same-sex marriage ban, HIV rates in that state, after a lag (one of the hints as to which way causation is working), went up.

They even found a plausible intermediate causative step, and evidence for it, in the form of the prevalence of anonymous gay cruising sites listed in gay travel guides. More or less, society tells gays to fuck off from conventional society, they do, they end up more closeted, have more anonymous sex, and they suffer an increased risk of HIV as a result.

So, next Tuesday, one of the effects of the failure of Question 6 will be, in essence, Marylanders jabbing a needle of HIV into their fellow citizens.


Interpreting the coefficients, enacting a gay marriage ban is associated with an
increase in the estimated HIV rate of 3 to 5 cases per 100,000 population.


Maryland's population is nearly six million people.

I ask you to sit and think on that a bit.
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (rights)
So, "protected classes." Once upon a time, our Founding Fathers authored a Declaration of Independence, which contained a document that set as a philoosophical foundation the idea that "all men were created equal", and that natural rights emanated from that equality. Of course, in my view, some of the implementation, as the country went on, was a little short-sighted; a fact which lead to the bloodiest war in American history, and as a result, the fourteenth amendment.

The fourteenth amendment nods to a fact that it's fairly easy for a large population to decide that a minority population is "less than" and to create laws which target them specifically. This is borne out by history, in matters great and small, from the worst (Jews, gypsies, homosexuals, etc., in Nazi Germany) to smaller-than-genocide but still serious and important matters (literacy tests which were only applied to Black voters.)

One challenge in applying the fourteenth amendment is determining what does and doesn't count. Obviously "thief" is not a group we worry about targeting unfairly. At least, I don't worry about it.

There is a necessary balance between the power of the legislature to get work done, and the underlying "treat people equally" Constitutional requirement of the 14th (and, we argue, the 5th) amendments. In the vast vast majority of cases, the legislature merely requires a "rational basis", that is, a plausible excuse, to pass any law they please. This is very sensible, and pragmatic.

However, in a limited number of cases, the Founding Fathers, or the government, or the courts, have found, that particular groups get fucked by this. With respect to religion, for example, the problem was so large that a note was made in the very first amendment which provides some protections for that class, and the 14th amendment fairly directly adds race to that list. It was the US. vs. Caroline Products decision, Footnote Four, which really started laying out the predicates as to when "rational basis" isn't enough oversight. Those predicates are:

‎1. Have they been fucked over for a long time?
2. Do they have the power to stop themselves from being fucked over in the government?
3. Did they have a choice about why they're being fucked over (e.g., the "thief" case), or not (skin color) If not, that's an indicator too.

Groups that meet these tests (or, which, as in the case of race and religion are nodded to in Constitutional text) are considered protected classes. That's all they are. And they're power is that they permit a somewhat greater judicial oversight of legislative intent in lawmaking, to address the question of "Are they being fucked over?"

Liberals like this because we believe that powerless groups should not be inherently fucked over, and that some level of pragmatism, e.g., not having every GD'd law spend twenty years in courts, just the few that actually address people who realy truly are being fucked over, is sensible.

Hope this helps. Love, me.


(x-posted by request to dkos at http://www.dailykos.com/blog/uid:167978)
joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (Default)
I've got a used one of these puppies, as as much as I kept on saying I was going to set it up as a second display and use it, actually, my ginormous Mac display is really handling all of my needs very well, thank you. It does *work* as a second monitor, however.

New they're about $550, used, a bit over $300, if you come and pick it up you can have it for $225 OBO. Good condition, the IPS display gives it pretty good color invariance with respect to viewing angle.

Profile

joedecker: Equality Lobby Day, taken by Denise, please do not yank (Default)
joedecker

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